Match

Beroe vs Ludogorets: prediction and stats

CupRound of 32Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Beroe, Stara Zagora

BeroeLudogorets

The Footlab AI model makes Ludogorets the favourite at 86%, against 10% for a draw and 4% for Beroe. The most likely score is 0-3.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Beroe vs Ludogorets?

Ludogorets is a heavy favourite: 1,968 Elo points against 1,637, a 331-point gap.

4%10%86%
Beroe winDrawLudogorets win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Beroe vs Ludogorets

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Beroe

4-3-3
  1. 10Ismael Ferrer
  2. 9Cheikh Diamanka
  3. 20Nikolay Ivaylov Georgiev
  1. 21N. Bandev
  2. 8Wesley Dual da Rocha
  3. 23H. El Yahyaoui
  1. 24H. Mitev
  2. 4D. Dinev
  3. 17G. Valchev
  4. 2Lachezar Mihaylov
  1. 1I. Goshev

Ludogorets

4-2-3-1
  1. 12Rwan Cruz
  1. 14P. Stanić
  2. 23Deroy Duarte
  3. 6I. Zhelizko
  4. 17Son
  5. 18I. Chochev
  1. 15E. Kurtulus
  2. 2J. Andersson
  3. 42S. Shishkov
  4. 4Hossam Abdelmaguid
  1. 39H. Bonmann

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:55 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beroe have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Ludogorets have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Beroe
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Marek(away)2-3Second League
Oct 4, 2026FK Minyor Pernik(away)2-1Cup
Sep 27, 2026Yantra 2019(home)1-0Second League
Sep 20, 2026Nesebar(away)3-4Second League
Sep 13, 2026Sportist Svoge(home)1-0Second League
Ludogorets
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 12, 2026Arda Kardzhali(home)5-0First League
Oct 4, 2026Cherno More Varna(home)5-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 27, 2026CSM Ramnicu Valcea(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 14, 2026Septemvri Sofia(home)2-1First League
Sep 6, 2026Lokomotiv Sofia(away)2-1First League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Beroe wins, 0 draws, 6 Ludogorets wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 15, 2026Ludogorets 2-1 BeroeFirst League
Dec 19, 2025Beroe 0-4 LudogoretsFirst League
Feb 16, 2025Ludogorets 2-1 BeroeFirst League
Aug 25, 2024Beroe 0-1 LudogoretsFirst League
Feb 26, 2024Beroe 0-2 LudogoretsFirst League
Aug 27, 2023Ludogorets 5-0 BeroeFirst League

Last archived meeting: Ludogorets vs Beroe on Feb 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Beroe score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ludogorets score 2.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Beroe1.41.267/158/15
Ludogorets2.10.867/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Beroe vs Ludogorets?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Beroe vs Ludogorets?
The Footlab AI model makes Ludogorets the favourite at 86%, against 10% for a draw and 4% for Beroe.
Where and when is Beroe vs Ludogorets played?
Beroe vs Ludogorets is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Beroe, in the Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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