Qarabag vs Şamaxı FK: result 3-1 and analysis
CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on March 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu, Baku
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What was the result of Qarabag vs Şamaxı FK?
Qarabag won 3-1 on March 4, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 6′E. AddaiQarabag
- 31′K. RossiŞamaxı FK
- 61′E. AddaiQarabag
- 63′Leandro AndradeQarabag
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qarabag have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Şamaxı FK have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Sabah FA(home) | 3-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Newcastle(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Newcastle(home) | 1-6 | UEFA Champions League |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Imisli FK(away) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Şamaxı FK(away) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Neftchi Baku(home) | 2-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Imisli FK(away) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 16, 2026 | Turan(home) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Qarabag(home) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Qarabag(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Qarabag win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Şamaxı FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | Şamaxı FK 1-2 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Şamaxı FK 2-1 Qarabag | Cup |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Qarabag 0-0 Şamaxı FK | Premyer Liqa |
| May 24, 2025 | Şamaxı FK 0-1 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Qarabag 3-2 Şamaxı FK | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 19, 2024 | Şamaxı FK 0-1 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Qarabag score 1.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Şamaxı FK score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qarabag | 1.9 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Şamaxı FK | 1.1 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy