Şamaxı FK vs Qarabag: result 2-1 and analysis
CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on February 5, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)ASK Arena, Baku
Full time
What was the result of Şamaxı FK vs Qarabag?
Şamaxı FK won 2-1 on February 5, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 26′K. RossiŞamaxı FK
- 42′K. RossiŞamaxı FK
- 78′M. QurbanlıQarabag
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Şamaxı FK have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Qarabag have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Kapaz(away) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Qabala(home) | 0-4 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Araz(away) | 0-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Zira(home) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Karvan(away) | 3-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Turan(home) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 0-6 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Kapaz(home) | 0-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Şamaxı FK win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Qarabag win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | Qarabag 0-0 Şamaxı FK | Premyer Liqa |
| May 24, 2025 | Şamaxı FK 0-1 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Qarabag 3-2 Şamaxı FK | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 19, 2024 | Şamaxı FK 0-1 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Qarabag 3-0 Şamaxı FK | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Şamaxı FK 0-1 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Şamaxı FK score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Qarabag score 2.1 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Şamaxı FK | 1.0 | 1.1 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Qarabag | 2.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy