Qarabag vs Şamaxı FK: result 3-1 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 17, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu, Baku
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What was the result of Qarabag vs Şamaxı FK?
Qarabag won 3-1 on August 17, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 29′R. CephasQarabag
- 44′E. AdilxanovŞamaxı FK
- 59′Ricardo ApolinárioQarabag (o.g.)
- 84′O. KashchukQarabag
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qarabag have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Şamaxı FK have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Vestri(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2026 | Qabala(away) | 1-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 16, 2026 | Turan(home) | 3-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 10, 2026 | Neftchi Baku(away) | 0-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 3, 2026 | Sabah FA(home) | 0-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Kapaz(home) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Qarabag win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Şamaxı FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Şamaxı FK 0-0 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Qarabag 3-1 Şamaxı FK | Cup |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Şamaxı FK 1-2 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Şamaxı FK 2-1 Qarabag | Cup |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Qarabag 0-0 Şamaxı FK | Premyer Liqa |
| May 24, 2025 | Şamaxı FK 0-1 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Qarabag score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Şamaxı FK score 0.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qarabag | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Şamaxı FK | 0.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Qarabag sit 4th in Premyer Liqa (3 points from 1 matches) and Şamaxı FK sit 7th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Şamaxı FK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy