Racing Club Warwick vs Leiston: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Townsend Meadow, Warwick, Warwickshire
The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Racing Club Warwick. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Racing Club Warwick vs Leiston?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Racing Club Warwick (1,716) and Leiston (1,790).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Club Warwick have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Leiston have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hitchin Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stamford(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Banbury United(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | St Neots Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gorleston(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Racing Club Warwick score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Leiston score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Club Warwick | 1.3 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Leiston | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Racing Club Warwick sit 10th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (4 points from 3 matches) and Leiston sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Leiston | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | Racing Club Warwick | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Racing Club Warwick vs Leiston?
- The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Racing Club Warwick.
- Where and when is Racing Club Warwick vs Leiston played?
- Racing Club Warwick vs Leiston is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Townsend Meadow, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Hitchin TownvsPeterborough Sports
- Oct 10, 2026StourbridgevsLeighton Town
- Oct 10, 2026AlvechurchvsBury Town
- Oct 10, 2026Banbury UnitedvsStamford
- Oct 10, 2026Needham MarketvsAnstey Nomads
- Oct 10, 2026Redditch UnitedvsBishop's Stortford
- Oct 10, 2026Rushall OlympicvsWorcester City
- Oct 10, 2026Stratford TownvsLeamington