Match

Stratford Town vs Leamington: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Arden Garages Stadium, Stratford-upon-Avon, Warwickshire

Stratford TownLeamington

The Footlab model makes Stratford Town the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Leamington. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stratford Town vs Leamington?

Stratford Town starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (1,760 vs 1,613).

Stratford Town win56 %
Draw23 %
Leamington win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stratford Town have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Leamington have 3, 2 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stratford Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Real Bedford(away)1-6Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Bury Town(home)1-3Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Redditch United(home)0-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Worcester City(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Jul 25, 2026Kidderminster Harriers(home)0-5Friendlies Clubs
Leamington
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bury Town(away)0-3Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Kettering Town(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Anstey Nomads(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Real Bedford(away)2-4Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026Yate Town(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Stratford Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Leamington win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 26, 2023Stratford Town 2-2 LeamingtonNon League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 28, 2023Leamington 1-1 Stratford TownNon League Premier - Southern Central
Jul 30, 2022Stratford Town 1-2 LeamingtonFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Stratford Town vs Leamington on Dec 26, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Stratford Town score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leamington score 1.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stratford Town1.51.568/158/15
Leamington1.32.2111/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stratford Town sit 16th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (2 points from 3 matches) and Leamington sit 17th (1 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16Stratford Town3021242
17Leamington2011351

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stratford Town vs Leamington?
The Footlab model makes Stratford Town the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Leamington.
Where and when is Stratford Town vs Leamington played?
Stratford Town vs Leamington is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Arden Garages Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Stratford Town and Leamington

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