Stratford Town vs Leamington: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Arden Garages Stadium, Stratford-upon-Avon, Warwickshire
The Footlab model makes Stratford Town the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Leamington. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stratford Town vs Leamington?
Stratford Town starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (1,760 vs 1,613).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stratford Town have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Leamington have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Real Bedford(away) | 1-6 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bury Town(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Redditch United(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bury Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kettering Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Bedford(away) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Stratford Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Leamington win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2023 | Stratford Town 2-2 Leamington | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Leamington 1-1 Stratford Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 30, 2022 | Stratford Town 1-2 Leamington | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Stratford Town vs Leamington on Dec 26, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Stratford Town score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leamington score 1.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stratford Town | 1.5 | 1.5 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Leamington | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stratford Town sit 16th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (2 points from 3 matches) and Leamington sit 17th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Stratford Town | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 17 | Leamington | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stratford Town vs Leamington?
- The Footlab model makes Stratford Town the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Leamington.
- Where and when is Stratford Town vs Leamington played?
- Stratford Town vs Leamington is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Arden Garages Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Hitchin TownvsPeterborough Sports
- Oct 10, 2026StourbridgevsLeighton Town
- Oct 10, 2026AlvechurchvsBury Town
- Oct 10, 2026Banbury UnitedvsStamford
- Oct 10, 2026Needham MarketvsAnstey Nomads
- Oct 10, 2026Redditch UnitedvsBishop's Stortford
- Oct 10, 2026Rushall OlympicvsWorcester City
- Oct 10, 2026Kettering TownvsHalesowen Town