US Mondorf-les-bains vs Résidence Walferdange: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade John Grün, Mondorf-les-Bains
The Footlab model makes US Mondorf-les-bains the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Résidence Walferdange. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win US Mondorf-les-bains vs Résidence Walferdange?
US Mondorf-les-bains is a heavy favourite: 1,656 Elo points against 1,353, a 304-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, US Mondorf-les-bains have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Résidence Walferdange have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(away) | 3-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(home) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(away) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(home) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Atert Bissen(home) | 1-2 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(away) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | US Hostert(home) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Jeunesse Canach(away) | 1-1 | National Division |
How many goals should we expect?
US Mondorf-les-bains score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Résidence Walferdange score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Mondorf-les-bains | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Résidence Walferdange | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
US Mondorf-les-bains sit 4th in National Division (9 points from 3 matches) and Résidence Walferdange sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Résidence Walferdange | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Résidence Walferdange | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for US Mondorf-les-bains vs Résidence Walferdange?
- The Footlab model makes US Mondorf-les-bains the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Résidence Walferdange.
- Where and when is US Mondorf-les-bains vs Résidence Walferdange played?
- US Mondorf-les-bains vs Résidence Walferdange is played on March 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade John Grün, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 21, 2027Racing FC Union LuxembourgvsProgres Niederkorn
- Mar 21, 2027US RumelangevsUNA Strassen
- Mar 21, 2027UN Kaerjeng 97vsF91 Dudelange
- Mar 21, 2027US HostertvsAS Jeunesse Esch
- Mar 21, 2027Etzella EttelbruckvsVictoria Rosport
- Mar 21, 2027WiltzvsAtert Bissen
- Mar 21, 2027Swift HesperangevsFC Differdange 03