Rågsved vs Smedby: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Södra SvealandSödra Svealand - 25Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Hagsätra IP, Stockholm
The Footlab model makes Rågsved the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Smedby. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rågsved vs Smedby?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Rågsved (1,501) and Smedby (1,492).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rågsved have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Smedby have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sleipner(home) | 0-4 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Fittja(away) | 0-1 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Syrianska FC(home) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Farsta(away) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Forward(home) | 1-2 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Syrianska FC(away) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eker Örebro(home) | 1-0 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Karlslund(away) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Örebro Syrianska(home) | 2-0 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Lindo FF(away) | 0-2 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Rågsved win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Smedby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Smedby 0-2 Rågsved | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Smedby 1-2 Rågsved | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| May 17, 2025 | Rågsved 4-1 Smedby | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Rågsved 2-1 Smedby | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| May 13, 2023 | Smedby 3-1 Rågsved | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
How many goals should we expect?
Rågsved score 1.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Smedby score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rågsved | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Smedby | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rågsved sit 7th in Division 2 - Södra Svealand (21 points from 12 matches) and Smedby sit 3rd (23 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Smedby | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 23 |
| 6 | Smedby | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 24 | 31 |
| 7 | Rågsved | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 19 | 21 |
| 8 | Rågsved | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rågsved vs Smedby?
- The Footlab model makes Rågsved the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Smedby.
- Where and when is Rågsved vs Smedby played?
- Rågsved vs Smedby is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hagsätra IP, in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.