Nyköping vs Karlslund: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Södra SvealandSödra Svealand - 25Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Rosvalla IP Konstgräs A, Nyköping
The Footlab model makes Nyköping the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Karlslund. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nyköping vs Karlslund?
Nyköping starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,530 vs 1,364).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nyköping have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Karlslund have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Haninge(away) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Farsta(away) | 0-3 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sleipner(home) | 1-0 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Forward(away) | 0-1 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Nacka Iliria(home) | 4-1 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lindo FF(away) | 1-0 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Haninge(home) | 3-0 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Smedby(home) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sleipner(away) | 2-4 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Fittja(home) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Nyköping win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Karlslund win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Karlslund 0-1 Nyköping | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Karlslund 0-2 Nyköping | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| May 7, 2023 | Nyköping 4-2 Karlslund | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Nyköping 2-0 Karlslund | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Jul 11, 2021 | Karlslund 0-3 Nyköping | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Nyköping 1-1 Karlslund | Ettan - Norra |
Last archived meeting: Karlslund vs Nyköping on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nyköping score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Karlslund score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nyköping | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Karlslund | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nyköping sit 1st in Division 2 - Södra Svealand (25 points from 12 matches) and Karlslund sit 13th (9 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nyköping | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 10 | 25 |
| 4 | Nyköping | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 33 |
| 9 | Karlslund | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 28 | 20 |
| 13 | Karlslund | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nyköping vs Karlslund?
- The Footlab model makes Nyköping the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Karlslund.
- Where and when is Nyköping vs Karlslund played?
- Nyköping vs Karlslund is played on October 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Rosvalla IP Konstgräs A, in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.