Rana vs Follo: prediction and stats
2. Division - Group 2Regular Season - 11Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Nye Sagbakken Stadion, Mo i Rana
The Footlab model makes Rana the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Follo. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rana vs Follo?
Rana starts as the favourite with a 153-point Elo edge (1,774 vs 1,621).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rana have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Follo have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stalkam(away) | 3-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Stalkam(away) | 3-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Follo(away) | 3-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Skeid(home) | 2-0 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stjørdals-Blink(away) | 2-4 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Råde(away) | 2-1 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rana(home) | 1-3 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Junkeren(away) | 1-4 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Trygg/Lade(home) | 1-2 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tromsdalen Uil(away) | 0-0 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Rana win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Follo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Follo 1-3 Rana | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Follo 2-1 Rana | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Rana 1-0 Follo | 2. Division - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Rana score 2.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Follo score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rana | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Follo | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rana sit 9th in 2. Division - Group 2 (20 points from 15 matches) and Follo sit 13th (9 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rana | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 28 | 20 |
| 13 | Follo | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rana vs Follo?
- The Footlab model makes Rana the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Follo.
- Where and when is Rana vs Follo played?
- Rana vs Follo is played on August 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Nye Sagbakken Stadion, in the 2. Division - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.