Rangers vs Celtic: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ibrox Stadium, Glasgow
The Footlab AI model makes Rangers the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Celtic. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rangers wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rangers vs Celtic?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Rangers (2,069) and Celtic (2,085).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rangers vs Celtic
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rangers
4-2-3-1- 19K. Kelsy
- 23D. Gassama
- 43N. Raskin
- 6D. Neil
- 10Minsu Kim
- 20R. Naderi
- 29J. Penrice
- 37E. Fernandez
- 24O. Makhanya
- 21D. Sterling
- 1I. Pandur
Celtic
4-2-3-1- 9K. Høgh
- 42C. McGregor
- 22M. Baur
- 11C. Durán
- 8B. Nygren
- 17S. Tounekti
- 51Colby Donovan
- 5L. Scales
- 63K. Tierney
- 47D. Murray
- 1V. Sinisalo
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 09:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rangers have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Celtic have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kilmarnock(home) | 3-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Celtic(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Celtic(home) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 9, 2026 | ST Mirren(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Motherwell(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Motherwell(away) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Rangers(home) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 9, 2026 | ST Johnstone(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Rangers wins, 2 draws, 1 Celtic win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Celtic 0-1 Rangers | Premiership |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Rangers 3-0 Celtic | League Cup |
| May 10, 2026 | Celtic 3-1 Rangers | Premiership |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Rangers 0-0 Celtic | FA Cup |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Rangers 2-2 Celtic | Premiership |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Celtic 1-3 Rangers | Premiership |
How many goals should we expect?
Rangers score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Celtic score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Celtic | 1.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rangers sit 2nd in Premiership (19 points from 8 matches) and Celtic sit 1st (21 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 21 |
| 2 | Rangers | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 19 |
A question about Rangers vs Celtic?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rangers vs Celtic?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rangers the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Celtic.
- Where and when is Rangers vs Celtic played?
- Rangers vs Celtic is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ibrox Stadium, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.