Falkirk vs Hibernian: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Falkirk Community Stadium, Falkirk
The Footlab model makes Falkirk the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Hibernian. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Falkirk vs Hibernian?
Hibernian starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,993 vs 1,892).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Falkirk have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Hibernian have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Motherwell(away) | 0-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | ST Mirren(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stranraer(home) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Genk(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Gent(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Partick(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Shkendija(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Shkendija(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Falkirk win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Hibernian win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Falkirk 1-3 Hibernian | Premiership |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Falkirk 4-1 Hibernian | Premiership |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Hibernian 3-0 Falkirk | Premiership |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Falkirk 2-2 Hibernian | Premiership |
| Jul 12, 2022 | Falkirk 1-0 Hibernian | League Cup |
| Mar 25, 2017 | Hibernian 2-1 Falkirk | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Falkirk score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hibernian score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falkirk | 1.3 | 1.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Hibernian | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Falkirk sit 10th in Premiership (1 points from 2 matches) and Hibernian sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hibernian | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Falkirk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Falkirk vs Hibernian?
- The Footlab model makes Falkirk the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Hibernian.
- Where and when is Falkirk vs Hibernian played?
- Falkirk vs Hibernian is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Falkirk Community Stadium, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.