Rapid Vienna vs Ried: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Allianz Stadion, Wien
The Footlab model makes Rapid Vienna the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Ried. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rapid Vienna vs Ried?
Rapid Vienna starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (2,022 vs 1,911).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rapid Vienna have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Ried have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Grazer AK(home) | 8-0 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Paide(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ried(away) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Paide(away) | 4-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Grazer AK(home) | 1-0 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 1-4 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rapid Vienna(home) | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Austria Lustenau(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Dornbirn(away) | 5-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Rapid Vienna win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Ried win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ried 1-2 Rapid Vienna | Bundesliga |
| May 25, 2026 | Rapid Vienna 3-0 Ried | Bundesliga |
| May 22, 2026 | Ried 2-1 Rapid Vienna | Bundesliga |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Ried 3-0 Rapid Vienna | Cup |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Rapid Vienna 1-2 Ried | Bundesliga |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Ried 0-2 Rapid Vienna | Bundesliga |
How many goals should we expect?
Rapid Vienna score 3.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ried score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rapid Vienna | 3.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Ried | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rapid Vienna sit 1st in Bundesliga (9 points from 3 matches) and Ried sit 7th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Ried | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rapid Vienna vs Ried?
- The Footlab model makes Rapid Vienna the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Ried.
- Where and when is Rapid Vienna vs Ried played?
- Rapid Vienna vs Ried is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Allianz Stadion, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.