Red Bull Salzburg vs Wolfsberger AC: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Red Bull Arena, Wals-Siezenheim
The Footlab model makes Red Bull Salzburg the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Wolfsberger AC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Red Bull Salzburg vs Wolfsberger AC?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Red Bull Salzburg (2,092) and Wolfsberger AC (1,995).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Red Bull Salzburg have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Wolfsberger AC have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | WSG Wattens(away) | 3-0 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Pafos(away) | 3-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Wolfsberger AC(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Pafos(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Austria Lustenau(away) | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(home) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Austria Vienna(home) | 3-0 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lauterach(away) | 5-1 | Cup |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Velden(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Red Bull Salzburg win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Wolfsberger AC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Wolfsberger AC 1-1 Red Bull Salzburg | Bundesliga |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Wolfsberger AC 0-1 Red Bull Salzburg | Cup |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Red Bull Salzburg 2-1 Wolfsberger AC | Bundesliga |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Wolfsberger AC 3-1 Red Bull Salzburg | Bundesliga |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Wolfsberger AC 2-1 Red Bull Salzburg | Bundesliga |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Red Bull Salzburg 1-1 Wolfsberger AC | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Wolfsberger AC vs Red Bull Salzburg on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Red Bull Salzburg score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Wolfsberger AC score 2.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Bull Salzburg | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Wolfsberger AC | 2.8 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Red Bull Salzburg sit 4th in Bundesliga (7 points from 3 matches) and Wolfsberger AC sit 6th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Wolfsberger AC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Red Bull Salzburg vs Wolfsberger AC?
- The Footlab model makes Red Bull Salzburg the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Wolfsberger AC.
- Where and when is Red Bull Salzburg vs Wolfsberger AC played?
- Red Bull Salzburg vs Wolfsberger AC is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.