Raufoss vs Ranheim: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)NAMMO stadion, Raufoss
The Footlab model makes Ranheim the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for Raufoss. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Raufoss vs Ranheim?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Raufoss (1,719) and Ranheim (1,793).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Raufoss have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Ranheim have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ridabu(away) | 4-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Asane(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Haugesund(away) | 2-7 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Stabaek(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Moss(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Steinkjer(away) | 6-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stromsgodset(home) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Strommen(away) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Haugesund(home) | 3-4 | 1. Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sogndal(away) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Raufoss win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Ranheim win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Ranheim 5-1 Raufoss | 1. Division |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Raufoss 1-2 Ranheim | 1. Division |
| May 15, 2025 | Ranheim 1-1 Raufoss | 1. Division |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Raufoss 1-1 Ranheim | 1. Division |
| Jun 16, 2024 | Ranheim 1-0 Raufoss | 1. Division |
| May 1, 2024 | Ranheim 1-2 Raufoss | NM Cupen |
How many goals should we expect?
Raufoss score 1.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ranheim score 2.5 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raufoss | 1.5 | 2.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Ranheim | 2.5 | 2.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Raufoss sit 15th in 1. Division (16 points from 18 matches) and Ranheim sit 9th (23 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ranheim | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 26 | 20 |
| 9 | Ranheim | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 44 | 45 | 23 |
| 15 | Raufoss | 18 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 43 | 16 |
| 15 | Raufoss | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Raufoss vs Ranheim?
- The Footlab model makes Ranheim the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for Raufoss.
- Where and when is Raufoss vs Ranheim played?
- Raufoss vs Ranheim is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at NAMMO stadion, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.