Rayo Majadahonda vs Alcorcon: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 27Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Miniestadio Cerro del Espino, Majadahonda
The Footlab AI model makes Rayo Majadahonda the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Alcorcon. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rayo Majadahonda wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,545 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rayo Majadahonda vs Alcorcon?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Rayo Majadahonda (1,936) and Alcorcon (1,929).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rayo Majadahonda vs Alcorcon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rayo Majadahonda
4-5-1- 19M. Gonzaga
- 18Tarsi
- 6David del Pozo
- 14Y. Yoshimura
- 15N. Celorio
- 22Rubén Quintanilla
- 4Dani Ramos
- 5D. Gallardo
- 20Sotillos
- 23Juan Durán
- 13Miguel Prieto
Alcorcon
4-3-3- 9Davo
- 7E. Aparicio
- 11O. Ouhdadi
- 10L. Vacas
- 6Pablo Rivera
- 16Fran Manzanara
- 17Miguel Cuesta
- 5Lancho
- 22X. Irurita
- 3Arnau Gaixas
- 13Miguel Bañuz
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 09:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rayo Majadahonda have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Alcorcon have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Hércules(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Ciudad de Lucena(away) | 1-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sant Andreu(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Jaén(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Murcia(home) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ibiza(home) | 3-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Huesca(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Teruel(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(home) | 5-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rayo Majadahonda win, 1 draw, 4 Alcorcon wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Alcorcon 1-1 Rayo Majadahonda | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Alcorcon 1-0 Rayo Majadahonda | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Rayo Majadahonda 0-1 Alcorcon | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Alcorcon 2-1 Rayo Majadahonda | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Rayo Majadahonda 1-2 Alcorcon | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 10, 2019 | Rayo Majadahonda 2-0 Alcorcon | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Alcorcon vs Rayo Majadahonda on Aug 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rayo Majadahonda score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Alcorcon score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Majadahonda | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Alcorcon | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rayo Majadahonda sit 17th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (7 points from 10 matches) and Alcorcon sit 7th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Alcorcon | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 15 |
| 17 | Rayo Majadahonda | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
A question about Rayo Majadahonda vs Alcorcon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rayo Majadahonda vs Alcorcon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rayo Majadahonda the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Alcorcon.
- Where and when is Rayo Majadahonda vs Alcorcon played?
- Rayo Majadahonda vs Alcorcon is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Miniestadio Cerro del Espino, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.