Algeciras vs Real Jaén: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 27Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Mirador, Algeciras
The Footlab AI model makes Algeciras the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Real Jaén. The most likely score is 1-1. If Algeciras wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,753 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Algeciras vs Real Jaén?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Algeciras (1,916) and Real Jaén (2,009).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Algeciras vs Real Jaén
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Algeciras
4-3-3- 18Pau Martínez
- 9R. Rubio
- 7Juanma García
- 20Jony Álamo
- 8Iván Turrillo
- 19Diego Iglesias
- 3J. Marquez
- 2Fran Carmona
- 4Aleix Coch
- 22Paris Adot
- 1Iván Moreno
Real Jaén
4-3-3- 11Mario Martos
- 19M. Keita
- 9Marco Siverio
- 8Antonio Caballero
- 6Jose Alvarez
- 10Paz Adri
- 21Mohamed Sanhaji
- 3D. Serrano
- 17Javi Moyano
- 4J. Pol
- 1J. Morillas
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Algeciras have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Real Jaén have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Real Madrid II(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hércules(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Europa Fc(away) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Villarreal II(home) | 3-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hércules(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Algeciras score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Real Jaén score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Algeciras | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Real Jaén | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Algeciras sit 9th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (13 points from 9 matches) and Real Jaén sit 3rd (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Real Jaén | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 16 |
| 9 | Algeciras | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
A question about Algeciras vs Real Jaén?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Algeciras vs Real Jaén?
- The Footlab AI model makes Algeciras the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Real Jaén.
- Where and when is Algeciras vs Real Jaén played?
- Algeciras vs Real Jaén is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Mirador, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.