Alcorcon vs Hércules: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 28Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santo Domingo, Alcorcón
The Footlab AI model makes Alcorcon the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Hércules. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alcorcon wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcorcon vs Hércules?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Alcorcon (1,927) and Hércules (1,901).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alcorcon vs Hércules
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alcorcon
4-3-3- 9Davo
- 7E. Aparicio
- 11O. Ouhdadi
- 10L. Vacas
- 6Pablo Rivera
- 8T. Caravaca
- 17Miguel Cuesta
- 5Lancho
- 22X. Irurita
- 3Arnau Gaixas
- 13Miguel Bañuz
Hércules
4-3-3- 20Andy
- 22Víctor Narro
- 11A. Jimenez
- 18Alejandro Fidalgo
- 37M. Puch-Herrantz
- 14N. Ben Hamed
- 2Samu Vázquez
- 4Javier Rentero
- 23Javi Jiménez
- 15Yago Cantero
- 13A. Blazic
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcorcon have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Hércules have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Teruel(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(home) | 5-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Madrid II(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gimnastic(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Sant Andreu(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Real Jaén(home) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Águilas(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Europa Fc(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Alcorcon wins, 1 draw, 1 Hércules win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Alcorcon 4-0 Hércules | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Hércules 0-0 Alcorcon | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Hércules 2-0 Alcorcon | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Alcorcon 4-1 Hércules | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Alcorcon score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hércules score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Hércules | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alcorcon sit 5th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (12 points from 7 matches) and Hércules sit 4th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hércules | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Alcorcon | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 12 |
A question about Alcorcon vs Hércules?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcorcon vs Hércules?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alcorcon the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Hércules.
- Where and when is Alcorcon vs Hércules played?
- Alcorcon vs Hércules is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santo Domingo, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.