Algeciras vs Real Madrid II: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Mirador, Algeciras
The Footlab model makes Algeciras the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Real Madrid II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Algeciras vs Real Madrid II?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Algeciras (1,886) and Real Madrid II (1,952).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Algeciras have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Real Madrid II have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur U21(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Hércules(home) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Sanluqueño(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 1, 2026 | FC Cartagena(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Zamora(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ponferradina(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mirandes(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Racing Ferrol(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Algeciras win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Real Madrid II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2025 | Algeciras 1-4 Real Madrid II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Real Madrid II 1-1 Algeciras | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Algeciras 3-0 Real Madrid II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Real Madrid II 1-2 Algeciras | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 27, 2023 | Algeciras 0-1 Real Madrid II | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 8, 2023 | Real Madrid II 2-1 Algeciras | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Algeciras vs Real Madrid II on Jan 31, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Algeciras score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Madrid II score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Algeciras | 0.9 | 1.1 | 8 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Real Madrid II | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Algeciras | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 40 | 41 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Algeciras vs Real Madrid II?
- The Footlab model makes Algeciras the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Real Madrid II.
- Where and when is Algeciras vs Real Madrid II played?
- Algeciras vs Real Madrid II is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Mirador, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.