Alcorcon vs Ibiza: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santo Domingo, Alcorcón
The Footlab AI model makes Alcorcon the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Ibiza. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alcorcon wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcorcon vs Ibiza?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Alcorcon (1,862) and Ibiza (1,865).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alcorcon vs Ibiza
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alcorcon
4-3-3- 9Davo
- 7E. Aparicio
- 11O. Ouhdadi
- 10L. Vacas
- 6Pablo Rivera
- 8T. Caravaca
- 17Miguel Cuesta
- 5Lancho
- 22X. Irurita
- 3Arnau Gaixas
- 13Miguel Bañuz
Ibiza
4-3-3- 9Manu Justo
- 10Ander Yoldi
- 21José Carlos Lazo
- 17T. Valls
- 6Josep Calavera
- 20Pedro Ortiz
- 18David Astals
- 3Víctor García
- 4J. Blasco
- 2Pablo Busto
- 1Andrés Prieto
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcorcon have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Ibiza have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Teruel(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(home) | 5-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Madrid II(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gimnastic(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Real Madrid II(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Villarreal II(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Zaragoza(home) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Real Jaén(away) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sant Andreu(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Alcorcon wins, 2 draws, 4 Ibiza wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Ibiza 2-2 Alcorcon | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Alcorcon 2-2 Ibiza | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 10, 2025 | Ibiza 2-0 Alcorcon | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Alcorcon 1-2 Ibiza | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jan 8, 2022 | Ibiza 6-2 Alcorcon | Segunda División |
| Nov 1, 2021 | Alcorcon 0-2 Ibiza | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Alcorcon score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ibiza score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Ibiza | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alcorcon sit 5th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (12 points from 7 matches) and Ibiza sit 10th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Alcorcon | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 12 |
| 10 | Ibiza | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 10 |
A question about Alcorcon vs Ibiza?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcorcon vs Ibiza?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alcorcon the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Ibiza.
- Where and when is Alcorcon vs Ibiza played?
- Alcorcon vs Ibiza is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santo Domingo, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.