Alcorcon vs Ibiza: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santo Domingo, Alcorcón
The Footlab model makes Alcorcon the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Ibiza. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcorcon vs Ibiza?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Alcorcon (1,894) and Ibiza (1,926).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcorcon have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Ibiza have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mérida AD(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Getafe II(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Sevilla Atletico(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Europa Fc(away) | 2-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | FC Cartagena(home) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Hércules(away) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Alcorcon win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Ibiza win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Ibiza 2-2 Alcorcon | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Alcorcon 2-2 Ibiza | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 10, 2025 | Ibiza 2-0 Alcorcon | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Alcorcon 1-2 Ibiza | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jan 8, 2022 | Ibiza 6-2 Alcorcon | Segunda División |
| Nov 1, 2021 | Alcorcon 0-2 Ibiza | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Alcorcon score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ibiza score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Ibiza | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alcorcon sit 11th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (51 points from 38 matches) and Ibiza sit 12th (50 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Alcorcon | 38 | 12 | 15 | 11 | 44 | 38 | 51 |
| 12 | Ibiza | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 44 | 38 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcorcon vs Ibiza?
- The Footlab model makes Alcorcon the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Ibiza.
- Where and when is Alcorcon vs Ibiza played?
- Alcorcon vs Ibiza is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santo Domingo, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.