Rayo Majadahonda vs Villarreal II: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 1Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 05:15 PM (UTC)Miniestadio Cerro del Espino, Majadahonda
The Footlab model makes Rayo Majadahonda the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Villarreal II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rayo Majadahonda vs Villarreal II?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Rayo Majadahonda (1,977) and Villarreal II (1,975).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rayo Majadahonda have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Villarreal II have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Alcorcon(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Elche II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zaragoza(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Zamora(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
| May 31, 2026 | Zamora(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
| May 23, 2026 | Sanluqueño(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Rayo Majadahonda score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Villarreal II score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Majadahonda | 1.6 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Villarreal II | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Villarreal II | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 54 | 32 | 63 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rayo Majadahonda vs Villarreal II?
- The Footlab model makes Rayo Majadahonda the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Villarreal II.
- Where and when is Rayo Majadahonda vs Villarreal II played?
- Rayo Majadahonda vs Villarreal II is played on August 29, 2026 at 05:15 PM (UTC) at Miniestadio Cerro del Espino, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.