RB Leipzig vs Lens: prediction and stats
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 5Kick-off on November 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Lens. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win RB Leipzig vs Lens?
On Elo ratings, RB Leipzig has 2,207 points and Lens 2,177.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for RB Leipzig vs Lens
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
RB Leipzig
4-2-3-1- 40Rômulo
- 7A. Nusa
- 21N. El Aynaoui
- 28C. Nkunku
- 6E. Banzuzi
- 30A. MaksimoviÄ
- 4W. Orbán
- 22D. Raum
- 17R. Baku
- 23C. Lukeba
- 26M. Vandevoordt
Lens
3-4-2-1- 11O. Édouard
- 10F. Thauvin
- 14M. Udol
- 27M. Cuisance
- 2R. Aguilar
- 19A. Sima
- 8Y. Titraoui
- 32K. Antonio
- 25I. Ganiou
- 24J. Gradit
- 40R. Risser
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 06:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RB Leipzig have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Lens have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(home) | 6-0 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 0-2 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Hamburger SV(home) | 5-0 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Como(away) | 1-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Werder Bremen(away) | 1-3 | Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Monaco(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Le Mans(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Slavia Praha(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Lorient(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 RB Leipzig wins, 0 draws, 1 Lens win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2025 | Lens 2-1 RB Leipzig | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
RB Leipzig score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lens score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 2.3 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Lens | 2.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
RB Leipzig sit 32nd in UEFA Champions League (0 points from 1 match) and Lens sit 10th (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 32 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
A question about RB Leipzig vs Lens?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for RB Leipzig vs Lens?
- The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Lens.
- Where and when is RB Leipzig vs Lens played?
- RB Leipzig vs Lens is played on November 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the UEFA Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.