Móstoles vs RC Alcobendas: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de El Soto, Móstoles
The Footlab model makes Móstoles the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for RC Alcobendas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Móstoles vs RC Alcobendas?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Móstoles have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; RC Alcobendas have 0, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | A Madrid III(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Villanueva Pardillo(home) | 3-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Pozuelo Alarcón(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Leganés II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Trival Valderas(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Móstoles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 45 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Móstoles vs RC Alcobendas?
- The Footlab model makes Móstoles the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for RC Alcobendas.
- Where and when is Móstoles vs RC Alcobendas played?
- Móstoles vs RC Alcobendas is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de El Soto, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 1, 2026FuenlabradavsLas Rozas
- Nov 1, 2026Alcobendas SportvsRayo Vallecano II
- Nov 1, 2026TorrejónvsReal Aranjuez
- Nov 1, 2026Trival ValderasvsGalapagar
- Nov 1, 2026Unión AdarvevsPozuelo Alarcón
- Nov 1, 2026Villanueva PardillovsParla Escuela
- Nov 1, 2026Colonia MoscardóvsCala Pozuelo
- Nov 1, 2026SS Reyes IIvsLeganés II