Reading vs Plymouth: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Select Car Leasing Stadium, Reading, Berkshire
The Footlab AI model makes Reading the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Plymouth. The most likely score is 1-1. If Reading wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,752 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Reading vs Plymouth?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Reading (1,921) and Plymouth (1,970).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Reading vs Plymouth
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Reading
4-2-3-1- 9J. Reid
- 10L. Wing
- 32P. Lane
- 19Kyreece Lisbie
- 4A. Rinomhota
- 28J. Stokes
- 15P. O'Connor
- 5H. Roberts
- 2U. Godwin-Malife
- 3J. Dorsett
- 1Joel Pereira
Plymouth
4-4-2- 9W. Evans
- 27A. Pepple
- 11R. Curtis
- 7H. White
- 23B. Ibrahim
- 17C. Watts
- 45W. Harding
- 15A. Mitchell
- 2M. Ross
- 22A. Hartridge
- 1M. Mahoney
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 09:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Reading have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Plymouth have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Wigan(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Chelsea U21(home) | 0-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(away) | 5-1 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Huddersfield(home) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Burton Albion(home) | 0-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Reading wins, 1 draw, 0 Plymouth wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Reading 2-2 Plymouth | League One |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Plymouth 1-4 Reading | League One |
| Aug 27, 2019 | Plymouth 2-4 Reading | League Cup |
| Aug 9, 2016 | Reading 2-0 Plymouth | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Reading score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Plymouth score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Plymouth | 1.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Reading sit 7th in League One (15 points from 10 matches) and Plymouth sit 4th (19 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Plymouth | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | Reading | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 15 |
A question about Reading vs Plymouth?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Reading vs Plymouth?
- The Footlab AI model makes Reading the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Plymouth.
- Where and when is Reading vs Plymouth played?
- Reading vs Plymouth is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Select Car Leasing Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.