Oxford United vs Barnsley: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Kassam Stadium, Oxford, Oxfordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Oxford United the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Barnsley. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,547 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oxford United vs Barnsley?
Oxford United starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,857 vs 1,713).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Oxford United vs Barnsley
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Oxford United
4-2-3-1- 9M. Harris
- 23S. Dembélé
- 11T. Goodrham
- 4Kai Andrews
- 8C. Brannagan
- 32L. Sibley
- 6M. Helik
- 26J. Currie
- 3C. Brown
- 30P. Kioso
- 1J. Cumming
Barnsley
4-2-3-1- 7T. Adeyemo
- 8C. McGeehan
- 19R. Cleary
- 22Patrick Kelly
- 45Vimal Yoganathan
- 48L. Connell
- 2A. Kay
- 5J. Shepherd
- 4S. Gale
- 3Z. Larkeche
- 1C. Slicker
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 05:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oxford United have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Barnsley have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Reading(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Barnsley(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Stockport County(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Reading(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Luton(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Cambridge United(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 1-3 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Oxford United win, 2 draws, 3 Barnsley wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Barnsley 1-1 Oxford United | League One |
| Jan 23, 2024 | Oxford United 0-1 Barnsley | League One |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Barnsley 1-3 Oxford United | League One |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Barnsley 2-0 Oxford United | League One |
| Feb 1, 2023 | Oxford United 1-2 Barnsley | League One |
| Jan 29, 2019 | Oxford United 2-2 Barnsley | League One |
Last archived meeting: Barnsley vs Oxford United on Oct 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oxford United score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Barnsley score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United | 1.6 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Barnsley | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oxford United sit 3rd in League One (26 points from 13 matches) and Barnsley sit 23rd (9 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Oxford United | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 26 |
| 23 | Barnsley | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 9 |
A question about Oxford United vs Barnsley?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oxford United vs Barnsley?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oxford United the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Barnsley.
- Where and when is Oxford United vs Barnsley played?
- Oxford United vs Barnsley is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Kassam Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.