Stevenage vs Leicester: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Lamex Stadium, Stevenage, Hertfordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Stevenage the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Leicester. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stevenage wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,447 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stevenage vs Leicester?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Stevenage (1,897) and Leicester (1,853).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stevenage vs Leicester
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stevenage
3-4-1-2- 9J. Magennis
- 18O. Sanderson
- 8D. Phillips
- 10D. Kemp
- 14S. Earley
- 24M. Smith
- 25Wanya Marçal
- 5C. Piergianni
- 2L. James-Wildin
- 15T. Vancooten
- 1T. Setford
Leicester
4-2-3-1- 17E. Riis
- 37W. Alves
- 25L. Page
- 11L. Cullen
- 6J. Lundstram
- 14B. De Cordova-Reid
- 33L. Thomas
- 16W. O'Hora
- 32O. Aluko
- 5C. Okoli
- 29A. McCarthy
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stevenage have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Leicester have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Leicester(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Walsall(away) | 6-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Luton(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Peterborough(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Fulham U21(home) | 6-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Barnsley(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 4-3 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Stevenage win, 0 draws, 0 Leicester wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Stevenage 2-1 Leicester | EFL Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Stevenage vs Leicester on Oct 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stevenage score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Leicester score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Leicester | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stevenage sit 9th in League One (12 points from 8 matches) and Leicester sit 17th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Leicester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 9 |
A question about Stevenage vs Leicester?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stevenage vs Leicester?
- The Footlab AI model makes Stevenage the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Leicester.
- Where and when is Stevenage vs Leicester played?
- Stevenage vs Leicester is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Lamex Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.