Luton vs Peterborough: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kenilworth Road, Luton, Bedfordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Luton the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Peterborough. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Luton vs Peterborough?
Luton starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,960 vs 1,828).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Luton vs Peterborough
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Luton
4-1-4-1- 21N. Wells
- 8L. Walsh
- 18J. Clark
- 45K. Palmer
- 10J. Donley
- 17T. Mendel-Idowu
- 2H. Odoffin
- 5M. Andersen
- 6G. Johnston
- 3K. Naismith
- 1J. Shea
Peterborough
4-2-3-1- 9H. Leonard
- 4L. Kelly
- 11O. Edwards
- 19Bolu Shofowoke
- 45Harry Ashfield
- 10Ethan Williams
- 14Harley Mills
- 2C. Johnston
- 12Joshua Feeney
- 18Lucca Mendonça
- 1A. Bass
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luton have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Peterborough have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 4-1 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Colchester(away) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Ipswich Town U21(home) | 6-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Leicester(away) | 3-1 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Ipswich Town U21(home) | 4-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 3-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 0-2 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Luton wins, 1 draw, 0 Peterborough wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Luton 2-1 Peterborough | League One |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Peterborough 0-2 Luton | League One |
| Jul 20, 2022 | Peterborough 0-2 Luton | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 5, 2022 | Peterborough 1-1 Luton | Championship |
| Aug 7, 2021 | Luton 3-0 Peterborough | Championship |
| Jan 19, 2019 | Luton 4-0 Peterborough | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Luton score 2.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Peterborough score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luton | 2.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Peterborough | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luton sit 13th in League One (11 points from 8 matches) and Peterborough sit 20th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Luton | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 11 |
| 20 | Peterborough | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 8 |
A question about Luton vs Peterborough?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Luton vs Peterborough?
- The Footlab AI model makes Luton the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Peterborough.
- Where and when is Luton vs Peterborough played?
- Luton vs Peterborough is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kenilworth Road, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.