Real Apodaca vs Acatlan: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 17Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Unidad Deportiva Centenario del Ejercito Mexicano, Apodaca Centro
The Footlab AI model makes Real Apodaca the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Acatlan. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Apodaca vs Acatlan?
Real Apodaca starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,902 vs 1,766).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Apodaca vs Acatlan
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Apodaca
Not enough data to predict the Real Apodaca lineup.
Acatlan
Not enough data to predict the Acatlan lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Apodaca have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Acatlan have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Correcaminos UAT II(home) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Vaqueros Reynosa(home) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | La Tribu de Cd. Juarez(away) | 1-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Guerreros(home) | 2-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Acatlan(away) | 1-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mineros de Fresnillo(home) | 2-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Héroes de Zaci(away) | 1-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2026 | FC Santiago(home) | 1-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Correcaminos UAT II(away) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Real Apodaca(home) | 4-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Real Apodaca wins, 0 draws, 1 Acatlan win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Acatlan 4-1 Real Apodaca | Liga Premier Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Acatlan vs Real Apodaca on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Apodaca score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Acatlan score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Apodaca | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Acatlan | 1.7 | 2.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Apodaca sit 9th in Liga Premier Serie A (4 points from 7 matches) and Acatlan sit 4th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Acatlan | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 13 |
| 9 | Real Apodaca | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 4 |
A question about Real Apodaca vs Acatlan?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Apodaca vs Acatlan?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Apodaca the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Acatlan.
- Where and when is Real Apodaca vs Acatlan played?
- Real Apodaca vs Acatlan is played on January 24, 2027 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Centenario del Ejercito Mexicano, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 23, 2027FC SantiagovsMineros de Fresnillo
- Jan 23, 2027Héroes de ZacivsVaqueros Reynosa
- Jan 23, 2027Guerreros del PacificovsHalcones Negros
- Jan 23, 2027Correcaminos UAT IIvsAtlético Saltillo
- Jan 23, 2027Artesanos MetepecvsCiervos
- Jan 24, 2027Calor de San PedrovsReal Refineros
- Jan 24, 2027Dragones de OaxacavsAcambaro
- Jan 24, 2027La Tribu de Cd. JuarezvsGuerreros