Guerreros vs Real Apodaca: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 18Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Héroe de Nacozari
The Footlab AI model makes Guerreros the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Real Apodaca. The most likely score is 1-1. If Guerreros wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,974 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guerreros vs Real Apodaca?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Guerreros (1,810) and Real Apodaca (1,890).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Guerreros vs Real Apodaca
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Guerreros
Not enough data to predict the Guerreros lineup.
Real Apodaca
Not enough data to predict the Real Apodaca lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 01:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guerreros have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Real Apodaca have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Mineros de Fresnillo(away) | 0-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | FC Santiago(away) | 2-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Correcaminos UAT II(home) | 3-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Apodaca(away) | 0-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | La Tribu de Cd. Juarez(home) | 2-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | FC Santiago(away) | 0-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Correcaminos UAT II(home) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Vaqueros Reynosa(home) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | La Tribu de Cd. Juarez(away) | 1-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Guerreros(home) | 2-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Guerreros wins, 0 draws, 1 Real Apodaca win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Apodaca 2-0 Guerreros | Liga Premier Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Real Apodaca vs Guerreros on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guerreros score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Real Apodaca score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guerreros | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Real Apodaca | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guerreros sit 7th in Liga Premier Serie A (9 points from 7 matches) and Real Apodaca sit 9th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Guerreros | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 9 |
| 9 | Real Apodaca | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 4 |
A question about Guerreros vs Real Apodaca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guerreros vs Real Apodaca?
- The Footlab AI model makes Guerreros the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Real Apodaca.
- Where and when is Guerreros vs Real Apodaca played?
- Guerreros vs Real Apodaca is played on January 31, 2027 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Héroe de Nacozari, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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