Where and when is Real Apodaca vs Mineros de Fresnillo played?

Real Apodaca vs Mineros de Fresnillo is played on January 10, 2027 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Centenario del Ejercito Mexicano, in the Liga Premier Serie A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Real Apodaca vs Mineros de Fresnillo: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 15Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Unidad Deportiva Centenario del Ejercito Mexicano, Apodaca Centro

Real Apodaca

Mineros de Fresnillo

The Footlab model makes Real Apodaca the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Mineros de Fresnillo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Apodaca vs Mineros de Fresnillo?

Real Apodaca starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,996 vs 1,852).

Real Apodaca win59 %

Draw23 %

Mineros de Fresnillo win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Apodaca have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Mineros de Fresnillo have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Apodaca
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Deportiva Venados(home)	2-4	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 30, 2026	Deportiva Venados(away)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 26, 2026	Inter Playa del Carmen(home)	3-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 23, 2026	Inter Playa del Carmen(away)	0-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 11, 2026	Correcaminos UAT II(away)	0-1	Liga Premier Serie A

Mineros de Fresnillo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 19, 2026	Cimarrones(away)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 15, 2026	Cimarrones(home)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 11, 2026	Durango(away)	1-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 28, 2026	Reboceros La Piedad(home)	6-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 21, 2026	Colima(away)	0-0	Liga Premier Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Real Apodaca win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Mineros de Fresnillo win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 11, 2025	Mineros de Fresnillo 2-0 Real Apodaca	Liga Premier Serie A
Nov 6, 2024	Real Apodaca 2-1 Mineros de Fresnillo	Liga Premier Serie A
Jan 28, 2024	Real Apodaca 2-0 Mineros de Fresnillo	Liga Premier Serie A
Aug 26, 2023	Mineros de Fresnillo 4-2 Real Apodaca	Liga Premier Serie A

Last archived meeting: Mineros de Fresnillo vs Real Apodaca on Jan 11, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Real Apodaca score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Mineros de Fresnillo score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Real Apodaca	1.5	1.0	7	6/15	8/15
Mineros de Fresnillo	1.7	1.2	4	10/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Apodaca sit 1st in Liga Premier Serie A (66 points from 26 matches) and Mineros de Fresnillo sit 7th (39 points from 26 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47	19	66
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40	41	39

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Apodaca vs Mineros de Fresnillo?: The Footlab model makes Real Apodaca the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Mineros de Fresnillo.
Where and when is Real Apodaca vs Mineros de Fresnillo played?: Real Apodaca vs Mineros de Fresnillo is played on January 10, 2027 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Centenario del Ejercito Mexicano, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.