Real Ávila vs Getafe II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Adolfo Suárez, Ávila
The Footlab model makes Real Ávila the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Getafe II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Ávila vs Getafe II?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Real Ávila (1,889) and Getafe II (1,901).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Ávila have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Getafe II have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Racing Santander II(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | CF Talavera(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Alcorcon(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | UD Logroñés(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Orihuela(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Real Ávila win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Getafe II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2024 | Getafe II 2-0 Real Ávila | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Getafe II vs Real Ávila on Aug 17, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Real Ávila score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Getafe II score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Ávila | 1.6 | 1.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Getafe II | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Getafe II | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55 | 35 | 57 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Ávila vs Getafe II?
- The Footlab model makes Real Ávila the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Getafe II.
- Where and when is Real Ávila vs Getafe II played?
- Real Ávila vs Getafe II is played on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Adolfo Suárez, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 27, 2026NumanciavsGuadalajara
- Sep 27, 2026CF TalaveravsReal Valladolid II
- Sep 27, 2026NavalcarnerovsConquense
- Sep 27, 2026Gimnástica SegovianavsSS Reyes
- Sep 27, 2026Salamanca UDSvsRSD Alcalá
- Sep 27, 2026Albacete IIvsCalamocha
- Sep 27, 2026Calvo SotelovsAtlético Tordesillas
- Sep 27, 2026A Madrid IIIvsAtlético Astorga