Where and when is Navalcarnero vs Conquense played?

Navalcarnero vs Conquense is played on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de San Francisco, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Navalcarnero vs Conquense: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo de San Francisco, Reinosa

Navalcarnero

Conquense

The Footlab model makes Navalcarnero the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Conquense. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Navalcarnero vs Conquense?

A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Navalcarnero (1,859) and Conquense (1,910).

Navalcarnero win41 %

Draw30 %

Conquense win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Navalcarnero have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Conquense have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Navalcarnero
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Fuenlabrada(home)	3-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026	Colonia Moscardó(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026	Conquense(home)	2-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026	CD Coria(away)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026	Rayo Majadahonda(home)	2-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Conquense
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 31, 2026	UD Ourense(home)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 24, 2026	UD Ourense(away)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 17, 2026	Xerez(home)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 9, 2026	Xerez(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026	Real Madrid III(away)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Navalcarnero win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Conquense win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 19, 2026	Navalcarnero 2-0 Conquense	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 19, 2025	Conquense 1-1 Navalcarnero	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Feb 9, 2025	Navalcarnero 2-0 Conquense	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 29, 2024	Conquense 1-0 Navalcarnero	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Last archived meeting: Navalcarnero vs Conquense on Apr 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Navalcarnero score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Conquense score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Navalcarnero	1.3	1.5	3	7/15	8/15
Conquense	1.1	0.9	6	5/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Navalcarnero sit 10th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (43 points from 34 matches) and Conquense sit 3rd (60 points from 34 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Conquense	34	16	12	6	42	30	60
10	Navalcarnero	34	11	10	13	40	42	43

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Navalcarnero vs Conquense?: The Footlab model makes Navalcarnero the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Conquense.
Where and when is Navalcarnero vs Conquense played?: Navalcarnero vs Conquense is played on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de San Francisco, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.