Calvo Sotelo vs Atlético Tordesillas: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de Puertollano, Puertollano
The Footlab model makes Calvo Sotelo the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Atlético Tordesillas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Calvo Sotelo vs Atlético Tordesillas?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Calvo Sotelo (1,938) and Atlético Tordesillas (1,919).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Calvo Sotelo have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Atlético Tordesillas have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | La Solana(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 3, 2026 | Toledo(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cazalegas(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Huracán Balazote(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Guadalajara II(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guijuelo(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Real Ávila(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | UD Santa Marta(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Calvo Sotelo win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Atlético Tordesillas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2024 | Atlético Tordesillas 1-2 Calvo Sotelo | Copa Federacion |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Tordesillas vs Calvo Sotelo on Sep 25, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Calvo Sotelo score 1.7 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Tordesillas score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvo Sotelo | 1.7 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Atlético Tordesillas | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Calvo Sotelo vs Atlético Tordesillas?
- The Footlab model makes Calvo Sotelo the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Atlético Tordesillas.
- Where and when is Calvo Sotelo vs Atlético Tordesillas played?
- Calvo Sotelo vs Atlético Tordesillas is played on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Puertollano, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.