Real Betis II vs Ciudad de Lucena: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Luis de Sol, Sevilla
The Footlab model makes Real Betis II the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Ciudad de Lucena. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Betis II vs Ciudad de Lucena?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Real Betis II (1,868) and Ciudad de Lucena (1,952).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Betis II have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Ciudad de Lucena have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | FC Cartagena(away) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Tarazona(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 10, 2026 | Real Murcia(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Antequera(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 3, 2026 | Cádiz II(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tomares(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bollullos(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sevilla III(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Real Betis II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ciudad de Lucena win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2019 | Ciudad de Lucena 1-0 Real Betis II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
Last archived meeting: Ciudad de Lucena vs Real Betis II on Oct 31, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Real Betis II score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ciudad de Lucena score 2.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis II | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Ciudad de Lucena | 2.5 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Betis II vs Ciudad de Lucena?
- The Footlab model makes Real Betis II the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Ciudad de Lucena.
- Where and when is Real Betis II vs Ciudad de Lucena played?
- Real Betis II vs Ciudad de Lucena is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Luis de Sol, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 31, 2027Sevilla AtleticovsAntoniano
- Jan 31, 2027Don BenitovsTenerife II
- Jan 31, 2027MarbellavsBadajoz
- Jan 31, 2027Recreativo HuelvavsLinares Deportivo
- Jan 31, 2027TamaraceitevsEstepona
- Jan 31, 2027XerezvsSanluqueño
- Jan 31, 2027Mijas Las LagunasvsAtlético Paso
- Jan 31, 2027Atlético CentralvsLas Palmas II