Xerez vs Sanluqueño: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Chapín, Jerez de la Frontera
The Footlab AI model makes Xerez the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Sanluqueño. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 4,831 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Xerez vs Sanluqueño?
Xerez starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,896 vs 1,768).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Xerez vs Sanluqueño
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Xerez
4-3-3- 10Zequi
- 9R. Mesa
- 11Chuma
- 8Ismael Gutiérrez
- 16R. Lopez
- 14J. Lopez
- 6Fali
- 19Moisés Rodríguez
- 3F. Chacartegui
- 21Victor Lopez
- 13M. Garcia
Sanluqueño
Not enough data to predict the Sanluqueño lineup.
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 01:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Xerez have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Sanluqueño have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Tamaraceite(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Cadiz(home) | 1-3 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Marbella(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ciudad de Lucena(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Betis II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Ciudad de Lucena(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Las Palmas II(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Badajoz(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(home) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mijas Las Lagunas(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Xerez wins, 1 draw, 0 Sanluqueño wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2024 | Sanluqueño 1-1 Xerez | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Xerez score 0.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sanluqueño score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xerez | 0.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Sanluqueño | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Xerez sit 10th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (12 points from 9 matches) and Sanluqueño sit 13th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Xerez | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 12 |
| 13 | Sanluqueño | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 10 |
A question about Xerez vs Sanluqueño?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Xerez vs Sanluqueño?
- The Footlab AI model makes Xerez the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Sanluqueño.
- Where and when is Xerez vs Sanluqueño played?
- Xerez vs Sanluqueño is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Chapín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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