Marbella vs Badajoz: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Antonio Lorenzo Cuevas, Marbella
The Footlab AI model makes Badajoz the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Marbella. The most likely score is 1-1. If Badajoz wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marbella vs Badajoz?
Badajoz starts as the favourite with a 205-point Elo edge (2,004 vs 1,799).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marbella vs Badajoz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marbella
4-3-3- 20J. Cambra
- 17Alexiel
- 19E. Ohemeng
- 8Eugeni Valderrama
- 16A. Ruiz
- 10A. Gil
- 22J. Rodriguez
- 23Alberto Escassi
- 2J. Alvarez
- 5A. Carbonell
- 1Manu García
Badajoz
Not enough data to predict the Badajoz lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 07:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marbella have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Badajoz have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Estepona(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Badajoz(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Betis II(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Puente Genil(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atlético Central(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sanluqueño(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Marbella(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sevilla Atletico(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Las Palmas II(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Betis II(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Marbella wins, 0 draws, 2 Badajoz wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Badajoz 1-0 Marbella | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 24, 2019 | Badajoz 1-0 Marbella | Primera División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Marbella score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Badajoz score 1.4 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marbella | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Badajoz | 1.4 | 0.5 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marbella sit 15th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (6 points from 7 matches) and Badajoz sit 5th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Badajoz | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 15 | Marbella | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
A question about Marbella vs Badajoz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marbella vs Badajoz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Badajoz the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Marbella.
- Where and when is Marbella vs Badajoz played?
- Marbella vs Badajoz is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Antonio Lorenzo Cuevas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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