Real Estelí vs Matagalpa: result 2-0 and analysis
Primera DivisionApertura - 2Kick-off on July 26, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Independencia, Estelí
Full time
What was the result of Real Estelí vs Matagalpa?
Real Estelí won 2-0 on July 26, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 59′B. BonillaReal Estelí (pen.)
- 70′Joab GutierrezReal Estelí
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Real Estelí win at 68%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 2-0. Actual score: 2-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Estelí have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Matagalpa have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | UNAN Managua(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Xilotepelt(home) | 2-0 | Copa Nicaragua |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Xilotepelt(away) | 1-0 | Copa Nicaragua |
| May 17, 2026 | Diriangén(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| May 10, 2026 | Diriangén(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | H&H Export(home) | 0-3 | Primera Division |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Jalapa(away) | 2-3 | Copa Nicaragua |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Jalapa(home) | 3-1 | Copa Nicaragua |
| May 7, 2026 | Diriangén(away) | 1-3 | Primera Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Diriangén(home) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Real Estelí win, 4 draws, 1 Matagalpa win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Real Estelí 0-0 Matagalpa | Primera Division |
| Feb 23, 2026 | Matagalpa 1-1 Real Estelí | Primera Division |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Matagalpa 1-0 Real Estelí | Primera Division |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Real Estelí 2-1 Matagalpa | Primera Division |
| Jul 7, 2025 | Real Estelí 1-1 Matagalpa | Copa Nicaragua |
| Jul 3, 2025 | Matagalpa 2-2 Real Estelí | Copa Nicaragua |
Last archived meeting: Real Estelí vs Matagalpa on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Estelí score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Matagalpa score 2.1 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Estelí | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Matagalpa | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Estelí sit 4th in Primera Division (22 points from 13 matches) and Matagalpa sit 9th (9 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Real Estelí | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 22 |
| 9 | Matagalpa | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 9 |
A question about Real Estelí vs Matagalpa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy