Real Garcilaso vs Alianza Lima: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónTorneo de Verano - 6Kick-off on March 5, 2017 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Full time
What was the result of Real Garcilaso vs Alianza Lima?
Real Garcilaso won 2-1 on March 5, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 18′J. HerreraReal Garcilaso
- 45′J. CotrinaAlianza Lima
- 71′Carlos Ariel Neumann TorresReal Garcilaso (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Garcilaso have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Alianza Lima have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2017 | UTC Cajamarca(home) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Feb 24, 2017 | Universitario(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 18, 2017 | Sport Huancayo(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 11, 2017 | Comerciantes Unidos(away) | 4-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 5, 2017 | Deportivo Municipal(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2017 | Sport Huancayo(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 22, 2017 | Comerciantes Unidos(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 19, 2017 | Deportivo Municipal(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 12, 2017 | Universitario(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Nov 27, 2016 | Sport Huancayo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Real Garcilaso win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Alianza Lima win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2016 | Real Garcilaso 1-0 Alianza Lima | Primera División |
| May 1, 2016 | Alianza Lima 2-1 Real Garcilaso | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Real Garcilaso vs Alianza Lima on Aug 7, 2016
How many goals should we expect?
Real Garcilaso score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Alianza Lima score 1.5 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Garcilaso | 1.2 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Alianza Lima | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 8 | 40 |
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 8 | 40 |
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 39 | 13 | 51 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | Alianza Lima | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy