Real Jaén vs Juventud Torremolinos: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nuevo Estadio La Victoria, Jaén
The Footlab model makes Real Jaén the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Juventud Torremolinos. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Jaén vs Juventud Torremolinos?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Real Jaén (1,972) and Juventud Torremolinos (1,877).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Jaén have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Juventud Torremolinos have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 31, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 24, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 17, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Real Murcia(home) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 10, 2026 | Marbella(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(home) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tarazona(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Real Jaén win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Juventud Torremolinos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2024 | Real Jaén 2-1 Juventud Torremolinos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Juventud Torremolinos 1-1 Real Jaén | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Jan 30, 2022 | Real Jaén 0-2 Juventud Torremolinos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Juventud Torremolinos 4-1 Real Jaén | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Real Jaén vs Juventud Torremolinos on May 5, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Real Jaén score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Juventud Torremolinos score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Jaén | 1.4 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Juventud Torremolinos | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Juventud Torremolinos | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 45 | 51 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Jaén vs Juventud Torremolinos?
- The Footlab model makes Real Jaén the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Juventud Torremolinos.
- Where and when is Real Jaén vs Juventud Torremolinos played?
- Real Jaén vs Juventud Torremolinos is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nuevo Estadio La Victoria, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.