Alcorcon vs Rayo Majadahonda: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santo Domingo, Alcorcón
The Footlab AI model makes Alcorcon the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Rayo Majadahonda. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alcorcon wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,937 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcorcon vs Rayo Majadahonda?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Alcorcon (1,915) and Rayo Majadahonda (1,915).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alcorcon vs Rayo Majadahonda
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alcorcon
4-3-3- 9Davo
- 7E. Aparicio
- 11O. Ouhdadi
- 10L. Vacas
- 6Pablo Rivera
- 8T. Caravaca
- 17Miguel Cuesta
- 5Lancho
- 22X. Irurita
- 4Álvaro Mayorga
- 13Miguel Bañuz
Rayo Majadahonda
4-3-3- 19M. Gonzaga
- 21J. Cambra
- 28I. Ramos
- 18Tarsi
- 22Rubén Quintanilla
- 15N. Celorio
- 4Dani Ramos
- 17O. Mesa
- 5D. Gallardo
- 24B. Sina
- 13Miguel Prieto
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 06:58 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcorcon have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Rayo Majadahonda have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Huesca(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Teruel(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(home) | 5-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Madrid II(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gimnastic(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Jaén(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Murcia(home) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Algeciras(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Europa Fc(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Teruel(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Alcorcon wins, 1 draw, 1 Rayo Majadahonda win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Alcorcon 1-1 Rayo Majadahonda | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Alcorcon 1-0 Rayo Majadahonda | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Rayo Majadahonda 0-1 Alcorcon | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Alcorcon 2-1 Rayo Majadahonda | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Rayo Majadahonda 1-2 Alcorcon | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 10, 2019 | Rayo Majadahonda 2-0 Alcorcon | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Alcorcon vs Rayo Majadahonda on Aug 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alcorcon score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Rayo Majadahonda score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Rayo Majadahonda | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alcorcon sit 6th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (13 points from 8 matches) and Rayo Majadahonda sit 19th (4 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Alcorcon | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 13 |
| 19 | Rayo Majadahonda | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
A question about Alcorcon vs Rayo Majadahonda?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcorcon vs Rayo Majadahonda?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alcorcon the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Rayo Majadahonda.
- Where and when is Alcorcon vs Rayo Majadahonda played?
- Alcorcon vs Rayo Majadahonda is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santo Domingo, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.