Match

Ibiza vs Real Murcia: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Can Misses – Power Electronic, Ibiza

IbizaReal Murcia

The Footlab AI model makes Ibiza the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Real Murcia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ibiza wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,462 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ibiza vs Real Murcia?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Ibiza (1,960) and Real Murcia (1,967).

46%28%26%
Ibiza winDrawReal Murcia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Ibiza vs Real Murcia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Ibiza

4-3-3
  1. 9Manu Justo
  2. 10Ander Yoldi
  3. 21José Carlos Lazo
  1. 17T. Valls
  2. 6Josep Calavera
  3. 20Pedro Ortiz
  1. 18David Astals
  2. 3Víctor García
  3. 4J. Blasco
  4. 24Erik Ruiz
  1. 1Andrés Prieto

Real Murcia

4-3-3
  1. 19Joel Jorquera
  2. 23D. Flakus Bosilj
  3. 17Javi Moreno
  1. 8Javi Mier
  2. 14Palmberg
  3. 10Chema Núñez
  1. 2Jorge Mier
  2. 15Óscar Gil
  3. 3Cristo
  4. 4H. Perez
  1. 13Dani Jiménez

Computed on October 25, 2026 at 11:41 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ibiza have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Real Murcia have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ibiza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Águilas(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 9, 2026Real Madrid II(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 4, 2026Villarreal II(away)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 25, 2026Zaragoza(home)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 19, 2026Real Jaén(away)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Real Murcia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Juventud Torremolinos(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 18, 2026Zaragoza(home)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 11, 2026Rayo Majadahonda(away)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 7, 2026FC Cartagena(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 4, 2026Gimnastic(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ibiza wins, 1 draw, 2 Real Murcia wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 18, 2026Ibiza 2-0 Real MurciaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 19, 2025Real Murcia 0-2 IbizaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Mar 2, 2025Real Murcia 0-2 IbizaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Nov 30, 2024Ibiza 1-2 Real MurciaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Jul 30, 2024Real Murcia 2-1 IbizaFriendlies Clubs
Mar 17, 2024Real Murcia 0-0 IbizaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Ibiza vs Real Murcia on Jan 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ibiza score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Murcia score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ibiza1.81.168/159/15
Real Murcia1.71.148/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ibiza sit 7th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (13 points from 8 matches) and Real Murcia sit 3rd (16 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Real Murcia951311816
7Ibiza8413111013

A question about Ibiza vs Real Murcia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ibiza vs Real Murcia?
The Footlab AI model makes Ibiza the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Real Murcia.
Where and when is Ibiza vs Real Murcia played?
Ibiza vs Real Murcia is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Can Misses – Power Electronic, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Ibiza and Real Murcia

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