Real Madrid vs Marseille: result 2-1 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 1Kick-off on September 16, 2025 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
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What was the result of Real Madrid vs Marseille?
Real Madrid won 2-1 on September 16, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 22′T. WeahMarseille
- 29′Kylian MbappéReal Madrid (pen.)
- 81′Kylian MbappéReal Madrid (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Madrid have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Marseille have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2025 | Real Sociedad(away) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Mallorca(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Oviedo(away) | 3-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Osasuna(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 12, 2025 | WSG Wattens(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2025 | Lorient(home) | 4-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Lyon(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Paris FC(home) | 5-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Rennes(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Aston Villa(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Madrid score 2.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Marseille score 2.3 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 2.1 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Marseille | 2.3 | 1.4 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Madrid sit 9th in UEFA Champions League (15 points from 8 matches) and Marseille sit 25th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 15 |
| 25 | Marseille | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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