Real Murcia vs Real Madrid II: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 23Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia, Murcia
The Footlab model makes Real Murcia the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Real Madrid II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Murcia vs Real Madrid II?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Real Murcia (1,931) and Real Madrid II (1,952).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Murcia have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Real Madrid II have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Cieza(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Zamora(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ponferradina(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mirandes(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Racing Ferrol(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Real Murcia win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Real Madrid II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2025 | Real Madrid II 0-0 Real Murcia | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Real Murcia 3-1 Real Madrid II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Real Madrid II 5-1 Real Murcia | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Real Murcia 0-0 Real Madrid II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Real Madrid II vs Real Murcia on Mar 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Real Murcia score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Madrid II score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Murcia | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Real Madrid II | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Real Murcia | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 43 | 40 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Murcia vs Real Madrid II?
- The Footlab model makes Real Murcia the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Real Madrid II.
- Where and when is Real Murcia vs Real Madrid II played?
- Real Murcia vs Real Madrid II is played on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.