Hércules vs Águilas: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 23Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José Rico Pérez, Alicante
The Footlab model makes Hércules the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Águilas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hércules vs Águilas?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Hércules (1,877) and Águilas (1,973).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hércules have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Águilas have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Alcoyano(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Gimnastic(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Algeciras(away) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Ibiza(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 31, 2026 | Poblense(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 24, 2026 | Poblense(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 17, 2026 | Utebo(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Utebo(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Hércules win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Águilas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2024 | Águilas 1-2 Hércules | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2023 | Águilas 1-0 Hércules | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 24, 2022 | Águilas 1-1 Hércules | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 5, 2021 | Hércules 2-1 Águilas | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Hércules score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Águilas score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hércules | 1.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Águilas | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hércules | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 41 | 54 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hércules vs Águilas?
- The Footlab model makes Hércules the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Águilas.
- Where and when is Hércules vs Águilas played?
- Hércules vs Águilas is played on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José Rico Pérez, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.