FC Cartagena vs Zaragoza: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 23Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Cartagonova, Cartagena
The Footlab model makes FC Cartagena the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Zaragoza. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Cartagena vs Zaragoza?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate FC Cartagena (1,854) and Zaragoza (1,856).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Cartagena have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Zaragoza have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Elche II(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Orihuela(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Johor Darul Takzim FC(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Real Betis II(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Ibiza(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Numancia(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Villarreal II(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | UD Logroñés(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Cartagena win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Zaragoza win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2025 | Zaragoza 3-2 FC Cartagena | Segunda División |
| Aug 26, 2024 | FC Cartagena 1-2 Zaragoza | Segunda División |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Zaragoza 1-2 FC Cartagena | Segunda División |
| Sep 10, 2023 | FC Cartagena 1-3 Zaragoza | Segunda División |
| Jul 28, 2023 | Zaragoza 2-1 FC Cartagena | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 13, 2023 | Zaragoza 2-0 FC Cartagena | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Zaragoza vs FC Cartagena on May 10, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
FC Cartagena score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Zaragoza score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cartagena | 1.0 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Zaragoza | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FC Cartagena | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 37 | 38 | 57 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Cartagena vs Zaragoza?
- The Footlab model makes FC Cartagena the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Zaragoza.
- Where and when is FC Cartagena vs Zaragoza played?
- FC Cartagena vs Zaragoza is played on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Cartagonova, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.