Real Oviedo II vs Gimnástica Torrelavega: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Requexón, Oviedo
The Footlab model makes Real Oviedo II the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Gimnástica Torrelavega. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Oviedo II vs Gimnástica Torrelavega?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Real Oviedo II (1,950) and Gimnástica Torrelavega (1,977).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Oviedo II have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Gimnástica Torrelavega have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | CD Coria(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 24, 2026 | CD Coria(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Tudelano(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Tudelano(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Langreo(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bezana(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sestao River(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Basconia(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Barquereño(away) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Real Oviedo II win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Gimnástica Torrelavega win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | Real Oviedo II 0-2 Gimnástica Torrelavega | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Gimnástica Torrelavega 1-1 Real Oviedo II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Real Oviedo II 1-1 Gimnástica Torrelavega | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Real Oviedo II 2-0 Gimnástica Torrelavega | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Gimnástica Torrelavega 2-1 Real Oviedo II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Real Oviedo II vs Gimnástica Torrelavega on Jan 21, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Real Oviedo II score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gimnástica Torrelavega score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Oviedo II | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Gimnástica Torrelavega | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Real Oviedo II | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 50 | 35 | 58 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Oviedo II vs Gimnástica Torrelavega?
- The Footlab model makes Real Oviedo II the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Gimnástica Torrelavega.
- Where and when is Real Oviedo II vs Gimnástica Torrelavega played?
- Real Oviedo II vs Gimnástica Torrelavega is played on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Requexón, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.