Where and when is Coruxo vs Gernika played?

Coruxo vs Gernika is played on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo do Vao, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Coruxo vs Gernika: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo do Vao, Vigo

Coruxo

Gernika

The Footlab model makes Coruxo the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Gernika. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Coruxo vs Gernika?

A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Coruxo (1,897) and Gernika (1,836).

Coruxo win48 %

Draw27 %

Gernika win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coruxo have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Gernika have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Coruxo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Pontevedra(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Lugo(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026	Atlético Baleares(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026	Atlético Baleares(home)	0-3	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026	Gimnástica Segoviana(home)	3-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Gernika
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Deportivo Alavés II(home)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026	Basconia(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 18, 2026	Tudelano(home)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 11, 2026	Amorebieta(away)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 4, 2026	Utebo(home)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Coruxo score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Gernika score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Coruxo	1.3	1.4	2	11/15	10/15
Gernika	1.0	1.5	5	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Coruxo	34	15	7	12	46	37	52

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Coruxo vs Gernika?: The Footlab model makes Coruxo the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Gernika.
Where and when is Coruxo vs Gernika played?: Coruxo vs Gernika is played on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo do Vao, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.