Where and when is Amorebieta vs Ourense CF played?

Amorebieta vs Ourense CF is played on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de Urritxe, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Amorebieta vs Ourense CF: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de Urritxe, Amorebieta-Echano

Amorebieta

Ourense CF

The Footlab model makes Amorebieta the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Ourense CF. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Amorebieta vs Ourense CF?

A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Amorebieta (1,895) and Ourense CF (1,906).

Amorebieta win42 %

Draw28 %

Ourense CF win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Amorebieta have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Ourense CF have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Amorebieta
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Athletic Club II(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Mutilvera(away)	2-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026	Sestao River(home)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 18, 2026	Real Unión(away)	3-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 11, 2026	Gernika(home)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

Ourense CF
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Lugo(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Pontevedra(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Tenerife(home)	2-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026	CF Talavera(away)	0-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 10, 2026	Celta de Vigo II(home)	2-4	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Amorebieta win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Ourense CF win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 17, 2025	Ourense CF 0-3 Amorebieta	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 22, 2024	Amorebieta 2-0 Ourense CF	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Ourense CF vs Amorebieta on May 17, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Amorebieta score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ourense CF score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Amorebieta	1.2	0.8	8	6/15	5/15
Ourense CF	1.1	1.3	4	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Amorebieta vs Ourense CF?: The Footlab model makes Amorebieta the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Ourense CF.
Where and when is Amorebieta vs Ourense CF played?: Amorebieta vs Ourense CF is played on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de Urritxe, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.