Where and when is Real Pilar vs Brown DE Adrogue played?

Real Pilar vs Brown DE Adrogue is played on August 25, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Pilar, in the Primera B Metropolitana.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Real Pilar vs Brown DE Adrogue: prediction and stats

Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Pilar, Partido de Pilar, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Real Pilar

Brown DE Adrogue

The Footlab model makes Real Pilar the favourite at 45%, against 33% for a draw and 22% for Brown DE Adrogue. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Pilar vs Brown DE Adrogue?

Real Pilar starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,725 vs 1,619).

Real Pilar win45 %

Draw33 %

Brown DE Adrogue win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Pilar have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Brown DE Adrogue have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Pilar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Deportivo Armenio(away)	1-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026	Flandria(home)	0-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026	Argentino Quilmes(away)	0-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 1, 2026	Defensores Unidos(home)	2-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 25, 2026	Comunicaciones(away)	2-1	Primera B Metropolitana

Brown DE Adrogue
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	UAI Urquiza(home)	1-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026	Villa Dalmine(away)	0-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026	Excursionistas(home)	1-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 31, 2026	Arsenal Sarandi(away)	1-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 25, 2026	Argentino de Merlo(home)	1-0	Primera B Metropolitana

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Real Pilar win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Brown DE Adrogue win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 14, 2026	Brown DE Adrogue 1-1 Real Pilar	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 2, 2025	Real Pilar 1-1 Brown DE Adrogue	Primera B Metropolitana
Mar 15, 2025	Brown DE Adrogue 0-0 Real Pilar	Primera B Metropolitana

Last archived meeting: Brown DE Adrogue vs Real Pilar on Apr 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Real Pilar score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Brown DE Adrogue score 0.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Real Pilar	0.9	0.9	5	7/15	5/15
Brown DE Adrogue	0.8	0.9	6	6/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Pilar sit 7th in Primera B Metropolitana (31 points from 20 matches) and Brown DE Adrogue sit 20th (19 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Real Pilar	20	9	4	7	23	22	31
7	Real Pilar	31	13	9	9	34	31	48
19	Brown DE Adrogue	31	7	11	13	20	32	32
20	Brown DE Adrogue	20	4	7	9	12	23	19

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Pilar vs Brown DE Adrogue?: The Footlab model makes Real Pilar the favourite at 45%, against 33% for a draw and 22% for Brown DE Adrogue.
Where and when is Real Pilar vs Brown DE Adrogue played?: Real Pilar vs Brown DE Adrogue is played on August 25, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Pilar, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.