Deportivo Laferrere vs Real Pilar: prediction and stats
Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Deportivo Laferrere, Gregorio de Laferrere, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Real Pilar the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Deportivo Laferrere. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Laferrere vs Real Pilar?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Deportivo Laferrere (1,677) and Real Pilar (1,738).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Laferrere have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Real Pilar have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | UAI Urquiza(away) | 2-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Villa Dalmine(home) | 0-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Excursionistas(away) | 3-5 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Arsenal Sarandi(home) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Argentino de Merlo(away) | 3-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Brown DE Adrogue(home) | 2-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportivo Armenio(away) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Flandria(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Argentino Quilmes(away) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Defensores Unidos(home) | 2-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Deportivo Laferrere win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Real Pilar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Real Pilar 1-0 Deportivo Laferrere | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Real Pilar 1-1 Deportivo Laferrere | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Deportivo Laferrere 1-2 Real Pilar | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jun 4, 2023 | Deportivo Laferrere 2-0 Real Pilar | Primera C |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Real Pilar 0-1 Deportivo Laferrere | Primera C |
| Jun 26, 2022 | Deportivo Laferrere 0-2 Real Pilar | Primera C |
Last archived meeting: Real Pilar vs Deportivo Laferrere on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Laferrere score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Pilar score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Laferrere | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Real Pilar | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Laferrere sit 13th in Primera B Metropolitana (24 points from 20 matches) and Real Pilar sit 7th (31 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Real Pilar | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 31 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 51 |
| 8 | Deportivo Laferrere | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 41 | 45 |
| 13 | Deportivo Laferrere | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 27 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Laferrere vs Real Pilar?
- The Footlab model makes Real Pilar the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Deportivo Laferrere.
- Where and when is Deportivo Laferrere vs Real Pilar played?
- Deportivo Laferrere vs Real Pilar is played on August 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Deportivo Laferrere, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026Arsenal SarandivsExcursionistas
- Aug 29, 2026Brown DE AdroguevsLiniers
- Aug 29, 2026Talleres RemediosvsUAI Urquiza
- Aug 29, 2026Defensores UnidosvsDeportivo Camioneros
- Aug 29, 2026Argentino QuilmesvsSportivo Italiano
- Aug 29, 2026ItuzaingóvsDock Sud
- Aug 30, 2026Deportivo ArmeniovsVilla San Carlos
- Aug 30, 2026FlandriavsSan Martín Burzaco